I love history and Gopher football. Here's how HC Fleck's first 10 B1G games stack up against the other HCs in the modern era. (Apologies for any math errors, the Tuchman Marsh firm is in-between intern classes so our accuracy is at an elevated risk for errors).
*HC Claeys is below-line as a non-traditional HC during a transition period.
HC Fleck
First 10 B1G games: 2-8 (20%) - 2 season win total/% TBD
B1G Scoring Avg: Gophers 17.9 - Opponents 29.2
HC Kill
First 10 B1G games: 2-8 (20%) - 2 season win total/%: 4-12 - 25%
B1G Scoring Avg: Gophers 15.6 - Opponents 32.5
HC Brewster
First 10 B1G games: 1-9 (10%) - 2 season win total/%: 3-13 - 19%
B1G Scoring Avg: Gophers 22 - Opponents 35
HC Mason
First 10 B1G games: 1-9 (10%) - 2 season win total/%: 3-13 - 19%
B1G Scoring Avg: Gophers 15.7 - Opponents 30.9
*Of note:
HC Claeys - Non-traditional HC transition
First 10 B1G games: 4-6 (40%) - 2 season win total/%: 6-8 - 43%
B1G Scoring Avg: Gophers 26.6 - Opponents 25.6
A conclusion:
We are currently in-line historically with our program's mean throughout the modern era. If those trends hold, finishing 4-8/5-7 would be on schedule for our program's historical performance in the first two years of a new regime. Conversely, winning 4 of the last 8 would put us ahead of schedule and likely be viewed positively as we head into 2019 with a young, but more experienced team and a presumed-to-be favorable schedule.
There are nuances to all of the periods studied. Schedule strength, roster experience, injuries, etc. But 4 regimes, plus the outlier with the Claeys era give us something to watch as we keep building.
*HC Claeys is below-line as a non-traditional HC during a transition period.
HC Fleck
First 10 B1G games: 2-8 (20%) - 2 season win total/% TBD
B1G Scoring Avg: Gophers 17.9 - Opponents 29.2
HC Kill
First 10 B1G games: 2-8 (20%) - 2 season win total/%: 4-12 - 25%
B1G Scoring Avg: Gophers 15.6 - Opponents 32.5
HC Brewster
First 10 B1G games: 1-9 (10%) - 2 season win total/%: 3-13 - 19%
B1G Scoring Avg: Gophers 22 - Opponents 35
HC Mason
First 10 B1G games: 1-9 (10%) - 2 season win total/%: 3-13 - 19%
B1G Scoring Avg: Gophers 15.7 - Opponents 30.9
*Of note:
HC Claeys - Non-traditional HC transition
First 10 B1G games: 4-6 (40%) - 2 season win total/%: 6-8 - 43%
B1G Scoring Avg: Gophers 26.6 - Opponents 25.6
A conclusion:
We are currently in-line historically with our program's mean throughout the modern era. If those trends hold, finishing 4-8/5-7 would be on schedule for our program's historical performance in the first two years of a new regime. Conversely, winning 4 of the last 8 would put us ahead of schedule and likely be viewed positively as we head into 2019 with a young, but more experienced team and a presumed-to-be favorable schedule.
There are nuances to all of the periods studied. Schedule strength, roster experience, injuries, etc. But 4 regimes, plus the outlier with the Claeys era give us something to watch as we keep building.
