As some of you know, I am much more of an offers guy than a rivals rating guy and so I like to compare the offers from the classes. I have done similar evaluations of past classes , and thought I'd share what I've done so far this year.
First my re-ranking criteria on offers is based upon the following guidelines:
1) 5.5- has at least one other P5* offer (*or equivalent as I consider teams like Boise St. and Houston as currently equivalent to a P5)
2) 5.6- has at least 4 other P5 offers
3) 5.7- 5+ P5 offers (I figure a guy that is wanted by that many P5 schools should at least be a high 3 star recruit.
4) 5.8- 5+ P5 offers + at least one helmet school offer (obviously some subjectivity in that definition but try to limit it to the schools that carry some extra weight)
5) 5.9- 5+ P5 offers + 3+ helmet schools
6) 6.0 - unlimited helmet schools
Now my disclaimers for the critics:
1) I recognize that not all offers listed may be accurate; 2) I recognize that not all offers listed are currently commitable (ie. may have had an early helmet school offer that has filled up); 3) I recognize that sometimes kids don't publish or announce later offers; 4) I recognize that this doesn't account much for early commits from local schools that likely would have received more offers; 5) This probably doesn't account for a coach like Fleck who received many early verbals from regional commits where I suspect many P5 coaches didn't attempt to poach his verbals at least publicly.
While this is an inexact re-rank, I personally think it is more accurate than the actual rivals rankings where you find some players too high or too low in comparison to what the coaches see.
General Early Results:
Gophs (#59 RR) Overall - 3 (4* ) 15 (3*)
Specifics - 1 (5.9), 2 (5.8), 1 (5.7), 4 (5.6), 10 (5.5)
Illinois (#48) Overall - 2 (4*) 15 (3*)
Specifics - 1 (5.9), 1 (5.8), 5 (5.7), 3 (5.6), 7 (5.5)
Rutgers (#43) Overall - 2 (4*) 10 (3*)
Specifics - 1 (5.9), 1 (5.8), 4 (5.7), 3 (5.6), 3 (5.5)
NW (#55) Overall - 3 (4*) 11 (3*)
Specifics - 1 (5.9), 2 (5.8), 4 (5.7), 2 (5.6), 5 (5.5)
Iowa (#40) Overall - 2 (4*) 13 (3*)
Specifics - 1 (6.0), 1 (5.9), 3 (5.7), 4 (5.6), 6 (5.5)
Wisc. (#35) Overall - 4 (4*) 11 (3*)
Specifics- 1 (5.9), 3 (5.8), 4 (5.7), 3 (5.6), 4 (5.5)
Indiana (#65) Overall - 1 (4*) 17 (3*)
Specifics - 1 (5.9), 5 (5.7), 5 (5.6), 9 (5.5)
General Comments:
* Very similar classes of 3 and 4 stars for the 5 above
* I didn't do the bottom guys, but Minnesota's offers for the 2 stars are much better in comparison to the 4 other teams above
*Iowa did great at the top, but their bottom has a lot of Schirck offers with no other FBS offers
*Minnesota a little light on top end 3 stars, but has a lot of lower 3 star guys with 1 or 2 P5 offers
First my re-ranking criteria on offers is based upon the following guidelines:
1) 5.5- has at least one other P5* offer (*or equivalent as I consider teams like Boise St. and Houston as currently equivalent to a P5)
2) 5.6- has at least 4 other P5 offers
3) 5.7- 5+ P5 offers (I figure a guy that is wanted by that many P5 schools should at least be a high 3 star recruit.
4) 5.8- 5+ P5 offers + at least one helmet school offer (obviously some subjectivity in that definition but try to limit it to the schools that carry some extra weight)
5) 5.9- 5+ P5 offers + 3+ helmet schools
6) 6.0 - unlimited helmet schools
Now my disclaimers for the critics:
1) I recognize that not all offers listed may be accurate; 2) I recognize that not all offers listed are currently commitable (ie. may have had an early helmet school offer that has filled up); 3) I recognize that sometimes kids don't publish or announce later offers; 4) I recognize that this doesn't account much for early commits from local schools that likely would have received more offers; 5) This probably doesn't account for a coach like Fleck who received many early verbals from regional commits where I suspect many P5 coaches didn't attempt to poach his verbals at least publicly.
While this is an inexact re-rank, I personally think it is more accurate than the actual rivals rankings where you find some players too high or too low in comparison to what the coaches see.
General Early Results:
Gophs (#59 RR) Overall - 3 (4* ) 15 (3*)
Specifics - 1 (5.9), 2 (5.8), 1 (5.7), 4 (5.6), 10 (5.5)
Illinois (#48) Overall - 2 (4*) 15 (3*)
Specifics - 1 (5.9), 1 (5.8), 5 (5.7), 3 (5.6), 7 (5.5)
Rutgers (#43) Overall - 2 (4*) 10 (3*)
Specifics - 1 (5.9), 1 (5.8), 4 (5.7), 3 (5.6), 3 (5.5)
NW (#55) Overall - 3 (4*) 11 (3*)
Specifics - 1 (5.9), 2 (5.8), 4 (5.7), 2 (5.6), 5 (5.5)
Iowa (#40) Overall - 2 (4*) 13 (3*)
Specifics - 1 (6.0), 1 (5.9), 3 (5.7), 4 (5.6), 6 (5.5)
Wisc. (#35) Overall - 4 (4*) 11 (3*)
Specifics- 1 (5.9), 3 (5.8), 4 (5.7), 3 (5.6), 4 (5.5)
Indiana (#65) Overall - 1 (4*) 17 (3*)
Specifics - 1 (5.9), 5 (5.7), 5 (5.6), 9 (5.5)
General Comments:
* Very similar classes of 3 and 4 stars for the 5 above
* I didn't do the bottom guys, but Minnesota's offers for the 2 stars are much better in comparison to the 4 other teams above
*Iowa did great at the top, but their bottom has a lot of Schirck offers with no other FBS offers
*Minnesota a little light on top end 3 stars, but has a lot of lower 3 star guys with 1 or 2 P5 offers
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